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Trusting your gut may not sound like a reliable way to make decisions, but the research points to some times when you might want to listen to it!

Hosted by: Brit Garner
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Sources:
https://www.fastcompany.com/40456/whats-your-intuition
http://martinchallis.com/page-2/
https://hbr.org/2003/05/dont-trust-your-gut
https://scottbarrykaufman.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/dual-process-theory-Evans_Stanovich_PoPS13.pdf
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25740762
https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdf/10.1257/089533005775196732
https://www.fs.fed.us/rmrs/sites/default/files/Kahneman2009_ConditionsforIntuitiveExpertise_AFailureToDisagree.pdf
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211368115000364
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/B9780121701505500111
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0010028573900042
https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2018-09/apa-igw090618.php
http://psycnet.apa.org/fulltext/2018-44225-001.html
http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/0146167293193010
http://www-2.rotman.utoronto.ca/facbios/file/mikels_2011_go_with_gut.pdf
https://www.thecut.com/2016/06/how-only-using-logic-destroyed-a-man.html
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.207.4701&rep=rep1&type=pdf
https://europepmc.org/abstract/med/30198736

Image Source:
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:MRI_of_orbitofrontal_cortex.jpg
[ ♪INTRO ].

Sometimes you know exactly what you need to do, and you don’t need to think about it. Like, maybe you’ve heard the urban legend of a firefighter putting out a fire in a kitchen with his crew.

Suddenly, he got the sense that they all needed to evacuate. Right after getting out, the kitchen floor collapsed, because the fire was actually coming from the basement underneath the kitchen. Without the firefighter’s instinct, his crew could have easily died.

Stories like this celebrate gut decisions: someone deciding quickly and confidently without knowing exactly why. They’re often based on what psychologists call your intuition, and they’re not always reliable. But after decades of research, scientists can point to times where you might want to listen to them.

Many researchers who study gut intuition think of your decisions as the result of two ways of thinking, which they call System 1 and System 2. Apparently, they weren’t feeling too creative that day. These systems aren’t biological things you might find in the brain, but they are a useful model for how people make choices.

System 1 is what you might think of as your gut intuition. It’s the part of your mind that runs automatically and gives you default responses to choices, usually based on association or recognition memory. For example, if you see someone walking a dog that looks like yours, your first reaction might be to go pet it.

Because that’s just what you do with cute, floppy-eared pups. System 2 checks your gut intuition, and it usually takes some conscious effort. It’s the system that says, “Hold up.

You’ve never met this dog before, so let’s take a moment to think about how this could go wrong. Like, maybe it might bite you.” In a lot of cases — like voting, or picking a college — System 2 can help you get your best answer, but that doesn’t mean you should always ignore your gut. For example, if you’re an expert in something — say, chess — your intuition for that activity is probably more accurate and worth listening to.

You’ve spent a long time practicing, so you’ve basically built up a huge library of memories for your intuition to draw on. That means you could make faster, still-accurate decisions without thinking through all the logical possibilities. Then again, not all experience leads to this kind of expert intuition.

Psychologists think you need an environment with some kind of regularity that you can learn through practice and feedback. It doesn’t have to be completely predictable, but the uncertainty needs to follow patterns, like in chess or poker. This is why firefighters and clinical nurses often have more accurate gut feelings, while stock market enthusiasts don’t.

Even if these people have a lot of experience, the stock market is just too complex, and the feedback is too vague to really train their intuition. Another situation where you might want to go with your gut is maybe more surprising. According to some research, if a decision only matters to you, going with your gut might also make you more satisfied with your result.

In a 2018 study in the journal Emotion, 90 people were asked to decide between two DVD players. They were told to either make a rational analysis, or go with a gut feeling. And those who did the latter said they thought the choice reflected their true, inner self more.

Follow-up studies showed the same effect, and also found that going with their guts made people more certain, and more likely to share their choice with their friends. This effect has been shown in other papers, too. So if you want to be happier about a decision, or pick something that feels more genuine, maybe trusting your intuition is a decent idea.

Now, you might be thinking, “But Brit! I make all of my decisions with pure logic, so I don’t need to trust my gut.” Well, the truth is, you might be missing out on a helpful resource in general — not just in these specific kinds of situations. In a 2004 Brain & Cognition study, researchers demonstrated this by having 43 people train their gut responses in a simple card game.

Players had to keep drawing from four decks. Some were bad decks that looked good. In other words, if you kept drawing from them, they would give consistent payouts, but would have an occasional huge loss that more than wiped out the wins.

Other decks were good, but looked bad. The regular payouts were smaller, but the losses weren't as devastating. Most people would take 40 to 50 draws to figure out what was going on and switch to drawing from the good decks.

But before then, their stress response would kick in for the bad decks. An electrode on their hand measured that they were sweating more on average before drawing from bad decks, even before they could figure out that they were bad. So even though their logical mind hadn't caught up yet, some part of their brain was making the association.

It turns out this is a really useful skill, too. The same card game was given to people who had damage in a part of their brain called the orbitofrontal cortex. It’s at the very front of your brain right above your eyes, and is associated with integrating emotions into your plans and choices.

This group never showed a stress response before seeing the card, and would keep picking from the bad decks. Sometimes, they could even report which decks were which, but still went with the bad ones. Even beyond card games, this loss of gut feeling can be pretty impairing.

These kind of patients usually do well on things like intelligence tests, but without gut feeling, they often make less-than-ideal choices in their daily lives. There are definitely situations where it makes sense to get logic involved, but overall, it’s often not a bad idea to listen to your gut feelings throughout the day. That’s especially true if you’re an expert or looking for a little extra satisfaction.

And if a firefighter suddenly tells you to leave a building, it’s probably a good idea to trust their intuition, too. Thanks for watching this episode of SciShow Psych! If you’d like to be among the first to see videos like this, or you want to keep learning about the things that make people tick, you can go to youtube.com/scishowpsych and subscribe. [ ♪ INTRO ].